Personal and academic blog. Explores the borderlands between rhetoric, politics and intelligence.

26.2.06

Intuition, intelligence and policy making

What many an intelligence analyst must have realised, politicians don't always make decisions on the intelligence reports that have been painstaikingly put together, but does it on a hunch and from personal preferences.

Now the good social scientists have turned their attention to this and in a report from the University of Amsterdam it is stated that decisions made on intuition are often superior to deliberated ones.

FAS reports:

"Intuition is often understood as an antithesis to analytic decision-making, as something inherently nonanalytic or preanalytic," Halpern quotes neuropsychologist Elkhonon Goldberg. "But in reality, intuition is the condensation of vast prior analytic experience; it is analysis compressed and crystallized."

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